After a wild Really Wild Card Round weekend, the four greatest top picks won while the short underdog Giants and Jaguars pulled off upsets to keep their seasons alive.
Presently we head to the Divisional Round with the refreshed 1-seed Eagles and Chiefs pausing, and just eight groups remain.
All in all, who will really win the Super Bowl? Which group has the right blend of ability, profundity, training, and karma to raise the prize? What’s the most ideal situation for each group left — and what’s awful? What does it resemble assuming that everything goes right, and what’s the way for things to go sideways?
Naver news present the defense for why each excess NFL group can win the Super Bowl — and afterward the case for why they will not. The choice from here ultimately depends on you.
Jacksonville Jaguars +3300
Why the Jaguars will win the Super Bowl…
Last February, I recognized a few groups that could be the current year’s Bengals, and the +12000 Jaguars were on my rundown. The case was simple: an immense training jump from Metropolitan Meyer to Doug Pederson, a sophomore breakout from QB Trevor Lawrence, and a stack of draft picks and compensation cap to add ability around him. That is fundamentally the way in which this season has worked out.
Lawrence has had exceptional minutes and demonstrated a speedy report when he comes up short. The Jaguars passing assault positions 6th by DVOA and worked on as the season advanced, and Pederson’s offense works really hard testing the safeguard early and spamming whatever works once they track down it. Travis Etienne can fly, and those costly recipients everybody panned have incredible science with Lawrence.
The protection has been heavy against the run the entire season however truly required off over the last five weeks of the time when they drove the association in EPA, because of a fearsome pass rush that positions third in pressure rate over the back portion of the time.
Pederson is 6-0 ATS as a postseason underdog, including 5-1 through and through. He reliably makes the right examination moves, similar to that late two-point transformation against the Chargers, and allows his group each opportunity to win. He’s the most demonstrated season finisher mentor left in the field.
Pederson and Lawrence can do this. It was dependably the Jags.
Why the Jaguars will miss the mark…
The Jaguars are just here since they moved in through a terrible division once Tennessee self-destructed, then maneuvered into the Divisional Round when the Chargers did likewise. Best of luck depending on the Chiefs, then two additional incredible groups, doing likewise.
Jacksonville confronted the association’s least demanding timetable protectively by DVOA. In six games where the Jags confronted an offense 핀벳88 in the top portion of the association, the guard cratered, permitting 30.0 PPG versus simply 15.4 PPG in the others and completing 31st in passing safeguard and by and large. The passing offense has likewise tumbled off powerfully while confronting a top safeguard.
Thumping on the Colts and Texans is charming, yet this pass protection positioned base five on the season and this youthful group is going to see a serious move forward in rivalry. Toto, I’ve an inclination we’re not in the AFC South any longer.
New York Giants +2500
Why the Giants will win the Super Bowl…
Brian Daboll makes every one of the things happen, and he and Wink Martindale allow the Giants a puncher’s opportunity. They’ve done marvels with this offense, revamping the hostile line and transforming Daniel Jones into a genuine, live NFL quarterback. The +12500 Giants were one more of my profound sleeper Super Bowl applicants… READ MORE
The Giants’ offense is the genuine article. They positioned top 10 on the season and got better down the stretch, positioning top seven both ignoring and hurrying the last a month and a half, and they’re falling off their generally complete round of the time.
The guard drove the association in pressure rate the back portion of the time. Dexter Lawrence can assume control over a game, and Kayvon Thibodeaux and Azeez Ojulari lead a barrage cheerful protection that can change a game without warning.
The Giants are lords of keeping it close. They’ve played 14 one-score games and they’ve just lost four of them. Each Divisional Round pattern says New York has a genuine opportunity to disturb Philadelphia. Do that and you’re just two games from another marvel run a la 2011. New York is +3000 at BetRivers assuming you accept.
Why the Giants will miss the mark…
The Giants have the most terrible safeguard left in the field overwhelmingly. They had the most horrendously terrible run safeguard in football, and the three leftover NFC adversaries are remarkable running the ball. The safeguard was additionally really low difference, it they’re reliably terrible to mean. As well as the Giants offense played against Minnesota, they required each highlight stay before the Vikings.
New York is most awful in the association protectively on first downs. They’re second most awful against tight finishes with Dallas Goedert, then, at that point, George Kittle or Dalton Schultz on draft. The Giants rank base five in cautious Drive Achievement Rate, base five in pass security, base quarter of the association in touchy pass plays on both offense and protection.
It’s been a supernatural occurrence season for New York, yet their karma can’t exactly run this hot for three additional games, can it? Sooner or later, Daniel Jones and this serious absence of ability actually won’t be sufficient.
Dallas Cowboys +850
Why the Cowboys will win the Super Bowl…
At the point when the Cowboys are great, they’re perfect. They choked the Bucs Monday night. They obliterated the then 8-1 Vikings 40-3 in November. They had games with 40, 40, 49 and 54 places. Multiple times, this safeguard constrained at least four turnovers. Micah Parsons is a game wrecker with 13.5 sacks, 14 handles for misfortune and 27 QB hits.
Dallas is a group of stars. Dak Prescott is falling off the round of his life. CeeDee Sheep substantiated himself a genuine WR1. Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard can rule the run game. Trevon Diggs can take one the alternate way any play. Parsons was the DPOY most loved the vast majority of the year. Dallas positions second protectively by DVOA on the season. The offense has been marvelous since Prescott gotten back from injury at 32.5 PPG. At the point when Prescott doesn’t turn it over, he trails just Patrick Mahomes in EPA per play on the season.
In the event that Prescott deals with the ball and he and the safeguard play as they did Monday, the Cowboys can beat anybody anyplace. Dallas is +1000 to win the Super Bowl at BetRivers.
Why the Cowboys will miss the mark…
Try not to be tricked by Dallas thumping on the cadaver of Tom Brady’s Bucs. We definitely realized the Cowboys 윈윈벳 were exceptional leaders, magnificent against terrible groups. They’re generally untested against great groups and hasn’t been excellent while confronting a solid test.
That No. 2 DVOA safeguard tumbled to association normal over the last a month and a half of the time, a terrible 25th against the pass. Dallas hasn’t been something very similar since losing Anthony Brown and never truly tracked down a CB2, and the Cowboys rank way behind everyone against restricting WR2s. The guard released dangerous plays late, and that world class pressure that drove the association early dropped to fourteenth over the back portion of the year.
The offense has been exceptional with Prescott, yet who have they played? They confronted just seven top 15 guards, four ahead of schedule without Prescott, and they rank twelfth disagreeably by DVOA with him, a larger number of Giants or Hawks than Bills or Chiefs. Dallas is the run-heaviest group abandoned a beat up line, wasteful on first downs, and overcommitted to Elliott. What’s more, presently they evidently can’t make an additional point kick by the same token.
By the day’s end, do you truly need to wager on Prescott and Mike McCarthy?